Weather Channel finally gets their wish.

[SN]

a Storms a coming, LOL.

This will be fun to watch, guess I was wrong about all that global warming, LOL.

[heavyguns1/1]

My buddy is in Cancun, planning on coming home tomorrow. Not a bad place to get stranded.
Mas cerveza.

[Tracy]

I'm really going to LOL if hits New Orleans head-on...

SN: What category? 1?

[SN]

Not yet, just TS.

[Patrick7]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200911.html

Some of the people here (NOLA area) are playing it up but it is looking more and more like Pensacola will take the hit with a strong TS. The computer models are doing some weird things here but after the last storm that hit the PI they (the storms) seem to be doing their own thing. Good surf outlook this week in Orange Beach.

[JonDW]

Ida is up to a category 2. They are encouraging residents in Pensacola to evacuate starting at 7 AM tomorrow. All of the schools are closed for atleast Monday and Tuesday. They aren't evacuating any military yet. Should be interesting...

[RetPara]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL1109W5_sm2+gif/215725W_sm.gif

Could hit NOLA.... but a close miss is very probable.

[bugeater]

Looks like PCola is gonna get it.

(double checks insurance policies)

Shoot. I hope that my rental policy covers water damage :)

[SN]

Florabama area is NHC's current guess.
Models keep trying to curve it Eastward, but each run has the recurvature starting farther North.
Fun to watch, guess I should actually watch Wx Channel tomorrow to see the weather babes falling over each other.

[Justaclerk]

The models show a recurve. Go to the Kerry Emanuel's MIT hurricane site in addition to NOAA. Here's the link:

http://wind.mit.edu/~emanuel/storm.html

Also, there may be upper level shearing over the Gulf that will significantly affect the storm and erode its intensity.

[Lagnaippe]

Regardless of where it hits, my kid gets out of school three hours early today...

[Invisible J]

Hurlburt just cut loose all non-essential personnel. Most should have tomorrow off as well.

[Just Another Guy]

To quote that famous American - Yogi Berra - "It's deja vu all over again." I was a county EM Director in that region during Ivan (2004) and see similarities. Don't get hung up on a point. Florabama was declared for Ivan but a little further west in my county, we caught the NE quadrant (the worst). Unlike NOLA, everybody did what was needed. Did everything go exactly right? No, that's why they call it a disaster.

Be careful down there.

[bugeater]

Hmm, now tropical storm Ida.

Max sustained winds of 60 knots. While still sporty, not anywhere near complete destruction power.

[Max Power]

Hey, now I can say I flew a helicopter in a tropical storm...

[bugeater]

oooh wee. Why'd you do that?

[SN]

Hmm, now tropical storm Ida.

Max sustained winds of 60 knots. While still sporty, not anywhere near complete destruction power.

Wrong, rainfall can still kill, and often does. Just ask the folks in coastal LA (1985 IIRC).

[bugeater]

double tap.

[bugeater]

Wrong, rainfall can still kill, and often does. Just ask the folks in coastal LA (1985 IIRC).

Valid.

I was thinking more in terms of hurricane force winds blowing down my little house of straw there. (it's on higher ground)

Regardless, vast quantities of rain could potentially cause just as much damage.

[Amarillo]

From OBX to LI, coastal flooding, wind and rain causing problems.
Route 12 is closed in Duck & Rodanthe.
Street flooding in Rehoboth; very windy in OC, Md.

And if you like to jog on the beach in Va., watch out for that bigass barge. :biggrin:

Stay safe,